What Would Captain Planet Do?

Estimates underestimate estimated impact

Professor Chris Field, an author of the 2007 landmark report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, has spoken out saying that the previous report seriously underestimated the amount of warming to expect in the coming century.

The difference between now and two years ago is a better understanding of greenhouse emissions since the turn of the century. From the year 2000 to 2007 greenhouse emissions worldwide have increased 3.5 percent per annum, or four times the average increase during the nineties. The culprit of course being the increase in coal based electric production in China and India as their economies start to mature.

Do you understand what I’m saying, but just need a little credibility to go along with it? Well I’ve got you’ve covered, just click on the following link to hear the same things I’ve said but with a British accent. Ya heard me. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8y06aWhSVY8

The video points out that not all people believe in global warming. Which I get because everyone likes some good old fashioned absolution. But I don’t really understand exactly what the debate is all about.

Are people really doubting whether greenhouse gases heat the earth? Because there is absolutely no scientific debate on that, it’s a fact. The catalyst that moves the earth between normalcy and glacial periods is the release or lack thereof of greenhouse gases. Humans are also unquestionably producing greenhouse gases and releasing them into the atmosphere.

Some of these gases are released naturally, and when it comes to carbon dioxide human activity only accounts for 5% of the total annual production. But believe it or not, that 5% is the difference between accumulation in the atmosphere and natural absorption.

Another gas is methane, which also has natural sources but in this case human activity is accountable for the majority of the 500 million annual tonnes. Also there is nitrous oxide of which humans account for 40% of annual emissions.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7890988.stm



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  1. dakota Said,

    BBC
    Page last updated at 02:11 GMT, Sunday, 15 February 2009
    Global warming ‘underestimated’

    The severity of global warming over the next century will be much worse than previously believed, a leading climate scientist has warned.

    Professor Chris Field, an author of a 2007 landmark report on climate change, said future temperatures “will be beyond anything” predicted.

    Prof Field said the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report had underestimated the rate of change.

    He said warming is likely to cause more environmental damage than forecast.

    Speaking at the American Science conference in Chicago, Prof Field said fresh data showed greenhouse gas emissions between 2000 and 2007 increased far more rapidly than expected.

    “We are basically looking now at a future climate that is beyond anything that we’ve considered seriously in climate policy,” he said.

    Prof Field said the 2007 report, which predicted temperature rises between 1.1C and 6.4C over the next century, seriously underestimated the scale of the problem.

    He said the increases in carbon dioxide have been caused, principally, by the burning of coal for electric power in India and China.

    Prof Field said the impact on temperatures is as yet unknown, but warming is likely to accelerate at a much faster pace and cause more environmental damage than had been predicted.

    He says that a warming planet will dry out forests in tropical areas making them much more likely to suffer from wildfires.

    The rising temperatures could also speed up the melting of the permafrost, vastly increasing the amount of carbon in the atmosphere, Prof Field warns.

    “Without effective action, climate change is going to be larger and more difficult to deal with than we thought,” he said.

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